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Evidence Verification

(This is in response to a readers questions in a previous newsletter.) 

A number of readers shared the concern that investigations stopped too soon in that conclusions were based on too few facts, or just the more obvious facts were considered. Other readers felt that in many cases only those facts supporting managements or the investigators point of view were given any weight. While this type of bias is difficult to overcome, the following is one method that might help us take a second look at our evidence, before coming to a conclusion.

Investigation conclusions must be based on facts! While we may feel confident that we have discovered all the facts and reached a logical conclusion this may not obvious to others. For example, in a case where an employee may be terminated over a safety violation some parties may not readily accept your logic.

What evidence exists to support your findings? What evidence did you find that some might consider supportive of a contrary point of view? Including a simple evidence matrix as part of your investigation and in your report captures the nature of the evidence, its sources, as well as other information. It not only aids the investigation process, but also strengthens a reader's confidence in your conclusions.

The following example, the electrocution death of a truck driver resulting from the box of his truck contacting high voltage power lines is based on a real event, but has been modified considerably for illustration purposes. While your first conclusions may have been exactly right and perhaps very obvious, using a matrix strongly supports the logic of your conclusions.

Evidence Matrix Example


Findings (Suppositions)

Supporting Evidence

Evidence Sources

Comments

Blowing dust may have obscured the truck driver's vision of the power lines

Weather office reports winds gusting to over 65 km/h. at time of incident

Environment Canada

Based on telephone call. Computer printouts obtained a week later supported this finding.

 

The gravel material being dumped had a high content of dry clay which was easily disturbed by even light wind.

Visual examination. Samples sent to U Of Calgary showed 25% clay content. Video taken just after incident showed high blowing dust levels

Also witnessed by both company investigators.

 

Similar visibility problems were reported the previous day and the job stopped for two hours

Weigh scale records show two hour shut down from 2-4 p.m. Also supported in drivers' logs

Environment Canada confirmed high winds on this day too.

 

Two waiting truckers report extremely poor visibility, in that they could not see the power lines when the truck raised its box to dump.

J. Brown & P. Johnson.

Brown and Johnson have been working at this site for two weeks, and also initiated the previous days shutdown.

In the first column list your early suppositions or findings. Some will turn out to be correct and proven, and others will have to be discounted for the lack of proof. In the second column list all the evidence that supports or discounts your early findings. In this example all the findings were supportive. Including the source of your evidence adds credibility to your report. Finally, add any additional comments that would be of benefit to the reader. Now with this evidence clearly displayed in front of them, most readers will likely agree that your supposition is in fact true.

This summary article is based on a research paper by R. Leon Horman.

 

 

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